InDecision Framework: Setup Scorecard

Score any setup in under 5 minutes. If conviction < 60%, ABSTAIN — no exceptions.

67%+ Live Win Rate

Section 1 — The 6-Factor Scoring Grid

Score 0–5 per factor

Factor	Weight	High (4–5)	Medium (2–3)	Low (0–1)
01 Daily Pattern Analysis	30%	Clean descending / ascending structure, pre-break acceptance, clear compression	Recognizable pattern, some noise, ambiguous quality	Choppy, no clear structure, random highs / lows
02 Volume Analysis	25%	4.2× + expansion at break, strong relative volume, no reclaim	Average volume, moderate participation, retest noise	Thin participation, wick-through, fast recapture
03 Timeframe Alignment	20%	Break aligns with dominant HTF trend, base = major HTF level, LTF confirms	Partial alignment, ambiguous HTF context	Counter-trend, HTF level conflict, no LTF confirmation
04 Technical Confluence	15%	Multiple independent signals agree, retest fails immediately	1–2 supporting signals, mixed retest	No confluence, contradictory signals
05 Market Timing	10%	Active session, post-funding reset, strong liquidity window	Moderate conditions, approaching session transition	Thin conditions, pre / during funding reset, off-hours
06 Risk Context VETO POWER	Override	No macro catalyst risk, normal cross-asset, low crowding	Some catalyst exposure, moderate crowding	Active catalyst, extreme crowding, cross-asset dislocation

01Daily Pattern Analysis

30%

HIGHClean descending / ascending structure, pre-break acceptance, clear compression

MEDRecognizable pattern, some noise, ambiguous quality

LOWChoppy, no clear structure, random highs / lows

02Volume Analysis

25%

HIGH4.2× + expansion at break, strong relative volume, no reclaim

MEDAverage volume, moderate participation, retest noise

LOWThin participation, wick-through, fast recapture

03Timeframe Alignment

20%

HIGHBreak aligns with dominant HTF trend, base = major HTF level, LTF confirms

MEDPartial alignment, ambiguous HTF context

LOWCounter-trend, HTF level conflict, no LTF confirmation

04Technical Confluence

15%

HIGHMultiple independent signals agree, retest fails immediately

MED1–2 supporting signals, mixed retest

LOWNo confluence, contradictory signals

05Market Timing

10%

HIGHActive session, post-funding reset, strong liquidity window

MEDModerate conditions, approaching session transition

LOWThin conditions, pre / during funding reset, off-hours

06Risk Context

Override

HIGHNo macro catalyst risk, normal cross-asset, low crowding

MEDSome catalyst exposure, moderate crowding

LOWActive catalyst, extreme crowding, cross-asset dislocation

Section 2 — Conviction Calculator

Weighted Score Formula

Score = (Pattern × 0.30) + (Volume × 0.25) + (Alignment × 0.20) + (Confluence × 0.15) + (Timing × 0.10)

Max Raw Score

5.0

Normalize: (score ÷ 5.0) × 100 = conviction %

Example Score

4.1 → 82%

High conviction — full position sizing eligible

Risk Context

VETO

Risk Context can override any score — regardless of calculation

Section 3 — Conviction Bands

▲80%+

HIGH CONVICTION

75% live hit rate

ACTION: Full position sizing, defined stop

Rare — protect this signal

◆60–79%

MEDIUM CONVICTION

62% live hit rate

ACTION: Reduced sizing, tighter stop, watchlist priority

Most actionable setups

✕<60%

LOW CONVICTION — ABSTAIN

ACTION: No trade. Capital preservation IS the position.

Every low-quality setup you skip protects budget for the 75% tier.

Section 4 — Quick-Check Rules

Volume below average on break = suspect until proven otherwise

HTF trend conflict = immediate conviction ceiling of 70%

Break during funding reset window = caution flag

Risk Context veto = no trade, full stop

ABSTAIN is not inactivity — it is the trade

Section 5 — Pattern Quality Checklist

Descending Triangle

✓Lower highs measurably declining

✓Base tested 3+ times

✓Pre-break acceptance near base

✓Volume contracts during formation

Ascending Triangle

✓Higher lows holding

✓Resistance horizontal

✓Squeeze tightening

✓Volume expanding into resistance tests

Bull / Bear Flag

✓Strong impulse move (the pole)

✓Orderly pullback (<50% retracement)

✓Volume contracts in flag

✓Break on expansion

InDecision Framework — indecision.io

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